{"id":43805,"date":"2022-04-04T15:13:13","date_gmt":"2022-04-04T13:13:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/?p=43805"},"modified":"2023-01-04T09:10:52","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T08:10:52","slug":"hogre-inflation-och-lagre-tillvaxt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2022\/04\/hogre-inflation-och-lagre-tillvaxt\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00f6gre inflation och l\u00e4gre tillv\u00e4xt"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rysslands \u00f6verfall p\u00e5 Ukraina \u00e4r inne p\u00e5 sin sj\u00e4tte vecka och \u00f6kar i brutalitet. Almegas chefsekonom, Patrick Joyce, redog\u00f6r f\u00f6r krigets inverkan p\u00e5 Sverige och svensk ekonomi.<\/p>\n\n

De ekonomiska sanktioner som v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden inf\u00f6rt mot Ryssland \u00e4r de h\u00e5rdaste som inf\u00f6rts mot en stor ekonomi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 P\u00e5 l\u00e5ng sikt n\u00f6ter sanktionerna sannolikt ner den ryska ekonomin men s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge de inte omfattar exporten av energi fylls den ryska krigskassan p\u00e5, s\u00e4ger Patrick Joyce, chefekonom p\u00e5 Almega.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \n \n \n <\/svg> <\/a>\n

H\u00f6jda priser p\u00e5 energi och livsmedel<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Ryssland \u00e4r visserligen en liten handelspartner f\u00f6r b\u00e5de Sverige och \u00f6vriga Europa men har en nyckelroll som leverant\u00f6r av vissa viktiga r\u00e5varor. Landet producerar 17 procent av v\u00e4rldens naturgas, tolv procent av v\u00e4rldens olja och fem procent av kolet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Ryssland \u00e4r \u00e4ven en betydande producent av palladium och nickel, metaller som anv\u00e4nds i bland annat fordons- och st\u00e5lindustrin. Landet producerar ocks\u00e5 n\u00e4stan en femtedel av den konstg\u00f6dsel som anv\u00e4nds i Europa. Dessutom kr\u00e4ver den europeiska produktionen av konstg\u00f6dsel rysk gas, s\u00e4ger Patrick Joyce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kriget har f\u00e5tt priserna p\u00e5 olja och naturgas att rusa. De n\u00f6dv\u00e4ndiga anstr\u00e4ngningarna att minska det europeiska beroendet av rysk gas kommer att inneb\u00e4ra h\u00f6ga priser p\u00e5 all typ av energi, vilket givetvis ocks\u00e5 kommer att p\u00e5verka Sverige.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stigande inflation kan d\u00e4mpa ekonomin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De \u00f6kade priserna p\u00e5 energi och livsmedel driver nu upp inflationen till rekordniv\u00e5er. Inflationen i Eurozonen var i mars 7,5 procent p\u00e5 \u00e5rsbasis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 \u00c5rstakten f\u00f6r den svenska inflationen l\u00e5g p\u00e5 4,5 procent i februari och \u00e4ven om energipriserna bromsar in kommer inflationen under hel\u00e5ret troligen att bli runt fem procent, s\u00e4ger Patrick Joyce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den h\u00f6ga inflationen minskar hush\u00e5llens disponibla inkomster vilket kan tvinga dem dra ner p\u00e5 annan konsumtion. Detta kan dock motverkas av att de svenska hush\u00e5llens sparande \u00f6kade under pandemin, pengar som nu kan aktiveras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Svagare tillv\u00e4xt i Europa och Sverige<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I regeringens prognos inf\u00f6r v\u00e5rpropositionen r\u00e4knades med en global tillv\u00e4xtminskning fr\u00e5n 5,9 procent f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret till 3,5 procent i \u00e5r, i Sverige fr\u00e5n 4,8 procent till 3,1 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fler flyktingar \u00f6kar behovet av skola och v\u00e5rd<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Drygt fyra miljoner m\u00e4nniskor har hittills l\u00e4mnat Ukraina. Migrationsverket befarar att 200 000 personer, varav h\u00e4lften barn, kan komma till Sverige f\u00f6re sommaren. Barnen har r\u00e4tt till skolg\u00e5ng och samma sjukv\u00e5rd som svenska barn, medan vuxna flyktingar har r\u00e4tt till enklare sjukv\u00e5rd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Det kommer att kr\u00e4vas stora insatser fr\u00e5n frist\u00e5ende grund- och gymnasieskolor f\u00f6r att klara tillstr\u00f6mningen av elever. \u00c4ven privata v\u00e5rdgivare kan beh\u00f6va g\u00f6ra insatser f\u00f6r att klara de \u00f6kade behoven. Privata v\u00e5rdgivare levererar n\u00e4stan en femtedel av all v\u00e5rd och omsorg i landet och st\u00e5r f\u00f6r 40 procent av prim\u00e4rv\u00e5rden, s\u00e4ger Patrick Joyce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e4s mer om kriget i Ukraina<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

De ekonomiska sanktioner som v\u00e4stv\u00e4rlden inf\u00f6rt mot Ryssland \u00e4r de h\u00e5rdaste som inf\u00f6rts mot en stor ekonomi. \u2013 P\u00e5 l\u00e5ng sikt n\u00f6ter sanktionerna sannolikt ner den ryska ekonomin men s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge de inte omfattar exporten …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6356,"featured_media":43047,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[566],"article_type":[55,56],"agreement":[],"class_list":["post-43805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-okategoriserade","tag-kriget-i-ukraina","type-artiklar","type-nyheter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nH\u00f6gre inflation och l\u00e4gre tillv\u00e4xt | Almega<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rysslands \u00f6verfall p\u00e5 Ukraina \u00e4r inne p\u00e5 sin sj\u00e4tte vecka. 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