{"id":31938,"date":"2020-10-28T11:09:34","date_gmt":"2020-10-28T10:09:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/?p=31938"},"modified":"2020-10-28T11:09:34","modified_gmt":"2020-10-28T10:09:34","slug":"det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201dDet r\u00e5der verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"intro\">Almegas chefekonom Patrick Joyce ger sin bild av l\u00e4get i tj\u00e4nstesektorn.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur g\u00e5r det f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagen?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 Tj\u00e4nstesektorn har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n raset i v\u00e5ras men bara delvis. Tre \u00e5rs tillv\u00e4xt raderades ut under krisen. I b\u00f6rjan av sommaren v\u00e4nde kurvorna tydligt upp\u00e5t men nu tycks \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen ha bromsat in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00c4r faran \u00f6ver eller kan det komma nya nedg\u00e5ngar?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 Nej, faran \u00e4r inte \u00f6ver. Smittspridningen \u00f6kar igen och det \u00e4r risk att det kommer kr\u00e4vas nya restriktioner som kan drabba delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn. \u00c4ven om det inte blir ett nytt ras \u00e4r risken stor att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen kommer av sig under h\u00f6sten och vintern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1180\" height=\"835\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-1180x835.png\" alt=\"Graf \u00f6ver produktionsraset i tj\u00e4nstesektorn\" class=\"wp-image-31939\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-1180x835.png 1180w, https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-580x410.png 580w, https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-380x269.png 380w, https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-768x543.png 768w, https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras-1536x1087.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/10\/produktionsras.png 2008w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1180px) 100vw, 1180px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen har bromsat in och m\u00e5nga riskerar att bli uppsagda n\u00e4r st\u00f6det f\u00f6r korttidsarbete upph\u00f6r i december.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">N\u00e4r \u00e4r vi tillbaka i normall\u00e4ge?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 Sannolikt dr\u00f6jer det en bit in i p\u00e5 2022 innan ekonomin \u00e4r tillbaka p\u00e5 samma niv\u00e5 som f\u00f6re krisen. I v\u00e4rsta fall kan det ta \u00e4nnu l\u00e4ngre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vad \u00e4r de st\u00f6rsta riskfaktorerna f\u00f6r n\u00e4rvarande?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 En \u00f6verh\u00e4ngande risk \u00e4r vad som kommer h\u00e4nda p\u00e5 arbetsmarknaden n\u00e4r de sista statliga krisers\u00e4ttningarna fasas ut. 113 000 personer var korttidspermitterade i september. Det ligger i farans riktning att m\u00e5nga av dem blir uppsagda n\u00e4r st\u00f6det f\u00f6r korttidsarbete upph\u00f6r i december. P\u00e5 l\u00e5ng sikt \u00e4r den st\u00f6rsta risken att smittspridningen leder till en l\u00e5ngvarig internationell l\u00e5gkonjunktur som kommer att drabba industrin och de exporterande tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagen, framf\u00f6r allt inom f\u00f6retagstj\u00e4nster och IT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hur skiljer sig tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagens situation fr\u00e5n \u00f6vriga n\u00e4ringslivet?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 V\u00e4ldigt m\u00e5nga tj\u00e4nster kr\u00e4ver att utf\u00f6rare och kund tr\u00e4ffar varandra fysiskt. Tj\u00e4nstesektorn \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r mycket k\u00e4nsligare f\u00f6r krav p\u00e5 social distansering \u00e4n andra delar av n\u00e4ringslivet. Med tanke p\u00e5 r\u00e5dande restriktioner r\u00e5der det i praktiken alltj\u00e4mt verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/almegas-forslag\/\"><strong>L\u00e4s ocks\u00e5: Almegas f\u00f6rslag till beslutsfattare f\u00f6r att lindra de ekonomiska effekterna av virusutbrottet<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hur g\u00e5r det f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagen? \u2013 Tj\u00e4nstesektorn har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n raset i v\u00e5ras men bara delvis. Tre \u00e5rs tillv\u00e4xt raderades ut under krisen. I b\u00f6rjan av sommaren v\u00e4nde kurvorna tydligt upp\u00e5t men nu tycks &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":29092,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[581],"tags":[50],"article_type":[56],"agreement":[],"class_list":["post-31938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tjanstesektorns-betydelse","tag-tjanstesektorns-utveckling","type-nyheter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u201dDet r\u00e5der verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn\u201d | Almega<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201dDet r\u00e5der verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hur g\u00e5r det f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagen? \u2013 Tj\u00e4nstesektorn har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n raset i v\u00e5ras men bara delvis. Tre \u00e5rs tillv\u00e4xt raderades ut under krisen. I b\u00f6rjan av sommaren v\u00e4nde kurvorna tydligt upp\u00e5t men nu tycks &hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Almega\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-10-28T10:09:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/03\/joyce_patrick_2541-web-1180x787.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1180\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"787\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Julia Schwamberg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Julia Schwamberg\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minuter\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u201dDet r\u00e5der verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn\u201d | Almega","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u201dDet r\u00e5der verksamhetsf\u00f6rbud f\u00f6r delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn\u201d","og_description":"Hur g\u00e5r det f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retagen? \u2013 Tj\u00e4nstesektorn har \u00e5terh\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n raset i v\u00e5ras men bara delvis. 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I b\u00f6rjan av sommaren v\u00e4nde kurvorna tydligt upp\u00e5t men nu tycks &hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/","og_site_name":"Almega","article_published_time":"2020-10-28T10:09:34+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1180,"height":787,"url":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2020\/03\/joyce_patrick_2541-web-1180x787.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Julia Schwamberg","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Skriven av":"Julia Schwamberg","Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"2 minuter"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2020\/10\/det-rader-verksamhetsforbud-for-delar-av-tjanstesektorn\/"},"author":{"name":"Julia 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