{"id":11895,"date":"2017-11-16T08:39:13","date_gmt":"2017-11-16T08:39:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/?p=11895"},"modified":"2017-11-16T08:39:13","modified_gmt":"2017-11-16T08:39:13","slug":"bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/","title":{"rendered":"Konjunktur&shy;rapport &#8211; Bromsad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt trots \u00f6kad efterfr\u00e5gan och full syssels\u00e4ttning"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I Almegas nya konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt. Trots h\u00f6g efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 svenska exportprodukter g\u00f6r kompetensbrist och \u00f6kad import att Sveriges BNP- och syssels\u00e4ttningstillv\u00e4xt bromsar in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ett uppsving i efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 investeringsvaror och n\u00e4rliggande tj\u00e4nster runt om i v\u00e4rlden har i \u00e5r lyft tillv\u00e4xten i v\u00e4rldshandeln, vilket gynnar Sverige som har en stor andel export av landets totala produktion. Det betyder att efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 insatstj\u00e4nster fr\u00e5n svenska tj\u00e4nsteleverant\u00f6rer till exporterande f\u00f6retag ocks\u00e5 \u00f6kar. Dessutom v\u00e4ntas exporten av bland annat it- och teknikkonsulttj\u00e4nster till tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retags kunder utomlands \u00f6ka. Sveriges BNP-tillv\u00e4xt ber\u00e4knas i \u00e5r till 2,9 % men f\u00f6r \u00e5r 2018 bromsar den in till 2,3 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trots den starkare efterfr\u00e5gan fr\u00e5n Sveriges exportmarknad i \u00e5r och n\u00e4sta \u00e5r bed\u00f6ms bristen p\u00e5 r\u00e4tt kompetens f\u00f6r n\u00e4ringslivets produktion h\u00e5lla tillbaka Sveriges produktionstillv\u00e4xt. Kompetensbristen i Sverige driver upp f\u00f6retagens behov av att \u00f6ka sin import av tj\u00e4nster som insats i sin produktion, vilket g\u00e4ller b\u00e5de industri- och tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Vi har n\u00e5tt en kritisk punkt p\u00e5 den svenska arbetsmarknaden d\u00e4r tillg\u00e5ngen p\u00e5 kompetens har blivit f\u00f6r liten, s\u00e4ger Almegas chefekonom Lena Hagman. Bland framf\u00f6rallt de kunskapsintensiva f\u00f6retagstj\u00e4nsterna m\u00e4rks d\u00e4rf\u00f6r en \u00f6kad import vilket f\u00e5r konsekvenser och vi bed\u00f6mer att arbetsl\u00f6sheten parkerar p\u00e5 6,7 procent i \u00e5r och 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En annan konsekvens \u00e4r att inflationen trots det h\u00f6ga resursutnyttjandet inte v\u00e4ntas ta fart. Almega r\u00e4knar med att inflationen, KPI med fast r\u00e4nta (KPIF), i Sverige kommer att falla tillbaka n\u00e4sta \u00e5r, till 1,6 procent, en l\u00e4gre inflationstakt \u00e4n vad Riksbanken nu r\u00e4knar med. Med den svagare inflation som Almega r\u00e4knar med bed\u00f6mer vi att Riksbanken kommer att b\u00f6rja h\u00f6ja styrr\u00e4ntan f\u00f6rst i b\u00f6rjan av 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; Gamla samband g\u00e4ller inte l\u00e4ngre. \u00d6kad konkurrens fr\u00e5n utl\u00e4ndska producenter kombinerat med den \u00f6kade importen h\u00e5ller nere prisutvecklingen p\u00e5 tungt v\u00e4gande tj\u00e4nster inom Sveriges n\u00e4ringsliv, konstaterar Lena Hagman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>L\u00e4s mer<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2017\/11\/20171115-almegas_prognos_november_2017.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">L\u00e4s hela konjunkturrapporten<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2017\/11\/almega-konjunkturrapport-171116.pdf\">L\u00e4s kortversionen av konjunkturrapporten<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I Almegas nya konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt. Trots h\u00f6g efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 svenska exportprodukter g\u00f6r kompetensbrist och \u00f6kad import att Sveriges BNP- &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"article_type":[56,42],"agreement":[],"class_list":["post-11895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-okategoriserade","type-nyheter","type-rapporter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.8 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Konjukturrapport - Bromsad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt trots \u00f6kad efterfr\u00e5gan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"I Almegas konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Konjunkturrapport - Bromsad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt trots \u00f6kad efterfr\u00e5gan och full syssels\u00e4ttning\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I Almegas konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Almega\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-11-16T08:39:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2017\/11\/konjuktturrapport-bild-16-nov-2017.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"566\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"266\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Julia Schwamberg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Julia Schwamberg\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minuter\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Konjukturrapport - Bromsad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt trots \u00f6kad efterfr\u00e5gan","description":"I Almegas konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"Konjunkturrapport - Bromsad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt trots \u00f6kad efterfr\u00e5gan och full syssels\u00e4ttning","og_description":"I Almegas konjunkturrapport, med prognoser f\u00f6r 2017-2018, presenteras ny statistik som visar tj\u00e4nstesektorns betydelse f\u00f6r svensk ekonomi och dess tillv\u00e4xt.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/","og_site_name":"Almega","article_published_time":"2017-11-16T08:39:13+00:00","og_image":[{"width":566,"height":266,"url":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/app\/uploads\/2017\/11\/konjuktturrapport-bild-16-nov-2017.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Julia Schwamberg","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Skriven av":"Julia Schwamberg","Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"2 minuter"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/2017\/11\/bromsad-bnp-tillvaxt-trots-okad-efterfragan\/"},"author":{"name":"Julia Schwamberg","@id":"https:\/\/www.almega.se\/#\/schema\/person\/efcc735e9c1ba0f9de79e69dc5be5f8a"},"headline":"Konjunktur&shy;rapport &#8211; 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